Advanced Applications of Scenario Planning
What You'll Learn
- Advanced applications of quantitative scenario planning.
- See how two regional agencies have applied quantitative scenario planning.
- Identify planning challenges for which quantitative scenario planning is helpful.
More Course Details
Demographic patterns, such as migration trends and household formation, often form the base of regional plans. Demographic data is often projected into the future based on a number of inputs, such as demographic data from the past. However, the past may not paint an accurate picture of the future. Treating projections as reality can have damaging consequences for allocating resources effectively and efficiently.
To respond dynamically to unknowns in the future, scenario planning can be used to establish multiple plausible situations that may come to pass. By designing for not one future situation but many, organizations can respond to needs in a more adaptive fashion.
Quantitative scenario planning quantifies the demand side (e.g., demographic patterns) and supply side (e.g., resource allocation), specifying the mathematical relationship between the two.
In this advanced application level course, learn how the
Metropolitan Area Planning Council (MAPC) of the Boston metro area and the
Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning (CMAP) have built or adapted their own
quantitative models, enabling them to improve the quality of dialogue and
approach policy and planning in a more comprehensive, responsive, and adaptive
Note: Advanced application courses focus on extensive application and implementation of highly technical and detailed subjects. These courses prepare learners to exhibit a definitive skill and requires substantial prerequisite knowledge.